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After a person is arrested and charged with a crime, they may be released on bail and required to participate in a community supervision program while awaiting trial. These 'pre-trial programs' are common throughout the United States, but very little research has demonstrated their effectiveness. Researchers have emphasized the need for more rigorous program evaluation methods, which we introduce in this article. We describe a program evaluation pipeline that uses recent interpretable machine learning techniques for observational causal inference, and demonstrate these techniques in a study of a pre-trial program in Durham, North Carolina. Our findings show no evidence that the program either significantly increased or decreased the probability of new criminal charges. If these findings replicate, the criminal-legal system needs to either improve pre-trial programs or consider alternatives to them. The simplest option is to release low-risk individuals back into the community without subjecting them to any restrictions or conditions. Another option is to assign individuals to pre-trial programs that incentivize pro-social behavior. We believe that the techniques introduced here can provide researchers the rigorous tools they need to evaluate these programs.

 

Employing Differential Privacy (DP), the state-of-the-art privacy standard, to answer aggregate database queries poses new challenges for users to understand the trends and anomalies observed in the query results: Is the unexpected answer due to the data itself, or is it due to the extra noise that must be added to preserve DP? We propose to demonstrate DPXPlain, the first system for explaining group-by aggregate query answers with DP. DPXPlain allows users to compare values of two groups and receive a validity check, and further provides an explanation table with an interactive visualization, containing the approximately 'top-k' explanation predicates along with their relative influences and ranks in the form of confidence intervals, while guaranteeing DP in all steps.

 

In this work, we demonstrate CaJaDE (Context-Aware Join-Augmented Deep Explanations), a system that explains query results by augmenting provenance with contextual information from other related tables in the database. Given two query results whose difference the user wants to understand, we enumerate possible ways of joining the provenance (i.e., contributing input tuples) of these two query results with tuples from other relevant tables in the database that were not used in the query. We use patterns to concisely explain the difference between the augmented provenance of the two query results. CaJaDE, through a comprehensive UI, enables the user to formulate questions and explore explanations interactively. 

In many data analysis applications there is a need to explain why a surprising or interesting result was produced by a query. Previous approaches to explaining results have directly or indirectly relied on data provenance, i.e., input tuples contributing to the result(s) of interest. However, some information that is relevant for explaining an answer may not be contained in the provenance. We propose a new approach for explaining query results by augmenting provenance with information from other related tables in the database. Using a suite of optimization techniques, we demonstrate experimentally using real datasets and through a user study that our approach produces meaningful results and is efficient.